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The RAE (Risk Assessment for ECC) Project: Assessing and Predicting Early Childhood Caries Risk Disparities








Principal Investigator: Stuart Gansky, MS, DrPH

Brief summary:
This study utilized statewide and local cross-sectional data sources to develop, test refine an ECC risk association model, subsequently tested with longitudinal data from Project 1. We took a multifactorial and multilevel approach looking at various individual, family and community characteristics, including demographics, socioeconomics, acculturation, health beliefs and behaviors, access to care, and physiology, using computationally intensive statistical data mining methods such as multiple additive regression trees (MART). Risk assessment models to be used in nondental settings and race/ethniciry specific models were developed. This has been the first study to simultaneously examine individual-, family- and community-level characteristics related to ECC with data mining techniques.

Study Type:
Secondary Data Analyses

Study Design:
Cross-sectional and longitudinal

Name of Disease or condition:
Early Childhood Caries

Not Applicable


No restriction

Minority status:
No restriction

Selected Presentations:
Gansky SA, Cheng NF, Pollick HF: Predicting early childhood caries with individual, family, and neighborhood factors. J Dent Res 2005;84(Spec Iss A):12.

Gansky SA, Cheng NF, Shain SG, Weintraub JA, Ramos-Gomez F: Early childhood caries prediction with knowledge discovery data mining tools. J Dent Res 2006; 85(Spec Iss B):515.

Gansky SA, Cheng NF: Ensemble models for risk prediction with survey and multilevel data. 2006; Session 47: Joint Statistical Meetings, Seattle WA, p41.

Han P, Aamodt K, Bui T, Sagier B, Gansky SA: Evaluating 3 caries risk assessment tools: CaMBRA, Cariogram & CAT. J Dent Res 2008;87(Spec Iss A): 720.

Gansky SA: Dental data mining: potential pitfalls and practical issues. Adv Dent Res 2003;17:109-14.

Shiboski CH, Gansky SA, Ramos-Gomez F, Ngo L, Isman R, Pollick HF: The association of early childhood caries and race/ethnicity among California preschool children. J Public Health Dent 2003; 63:38-46.

Study contact information:

Dr. Stuart Gansky
Principal Investigator
UCSF Oral Epidemiology
3333 California Street, Suite 495
San Francisco, CA 94143-1361






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